The Gross National Debt
     
Mumbai   New York   London   Tokyo

Monday, March 1, 2010

Financial astrology for 2010- Gold, Silver, Stocks,Grains and Gloabl Markets....

GRAINS - My major bet will be on grains, i recommend buying grains during 2010, March to July they will struggle but by end of year they will be the best performer. Year 2010 grains prices will sky rocket so i recommend buying grains. In second half 2010, Corn and Wheat will be proven the best investment.

Metals – Unfortunately all major planets are not supporting metals in 2010. All metals will under perform against grains and stock market so we won’t be putting money unless valuations get attractive. Uranium stocks will be the best performer among mining stocks, avoid gold/silver stocks load up your portfolio with Uranium mining stocks. Gold won't able to break $1200 in 2010.

STOCK MARKET – I am not excited till Mid 2010, but after that markets will be on fire, i am very much hopeful that my target of Dow reaching 32000 will get fulfill in the next four years. Banking, financial, pharmaceuticals, retailers and transport won’t perform well. Power and alternative energy will be the best performer in 2010. highly recommend to buying fuel cell, hybrid, electric component, battery, wind, nuclear and solar stocks. I am expecting these stocks to perform between 50 to 300% during this year. Big downside move is coming any time from 15 Jan 2010 in all stock exchanges.

OIL – As I said earlier that in coming time oil will be fighting with it own destiny, in 2008 we called that oil is killing its own destiny by rising so fast and that proven so right when it fell from $150 to $33. Yes, I don’t see a great future for oil from here. Though there will be a rise and fall because of market activity but each rise to take a opportunity of selling because eventually I see no use of oil after 2018, by 2021 oil should trade below $5.00 because whole automobile industry will run on electricity and there will enough electricity in the world from new sources like nuclear, solar and wind. Before the end of oil era once again oil will reach to $200 in 2015/16. In 2010 oil will remain in bear market.

SOFT COMMODITIES– 2010 will be best year for coffee and cocoa and cotton three “C’s” (their pronoun session is start with “C”). There will be fall in sugar prices so avoid sugar. From June 2010 coffee and cocoa will be on fire, they may achieve new high. I see cocoa going up to $5000 and coffee near to historic high but yearly this year they will remain sideways.

CURRENCY MARKETI see dollar to perform strongly in 2010, yes there will be some profit booking early this year so any corrections should be taken as a buying opportunity in dollar. Yen will be another currency to perform strongly in 2010 against all currencies except USD. Swiss Franc will also gain against Euro and British Pound. Canadian and Australian dollar will have set back in 2010, both these currencies will perform very negative. I predict most of currencies will lose more 20% value against USD in 2010. After gains our money will be in USD.

REAL ESTATEMiddle-east, Asia and USA won’t have any new surprise, European real estate will under perform, Brazil, South Africa, Australia and New Zealand will remain down in 2010. USA will remain weak or sideways, so we don’t recommend investing new money in real estate market. Yes I 2011 will be good year for real estate. Since 2008, Dubai was under our warning and that proven very accurate, we still don’t recommend any new investment in Dubai property market; ignore all positive news if they come out because planets are not supporting Dubai for the next four years.

TERRORISM– Until April 2010, we see some kind activity or dyeing more soldiers in Afghanistan and Iraq, there will be some terrorist attacks in place like India, Indonesia and UK but after April 2010, many key evil people (terrorist) will get killed, this will be great news for Obama administration and world at large. There will be victory of good on evils.

We should pray for good health of our leader as I always says that child future is in the hand of parents and same way billions peoples future is in the hand of politician, if they make one mistake then whole country suffer like hell (look at example of Zimbabwe), We pray that nature give vision and wisdom to our leader to make our beautiful planet more beautiful and peaceful.

Warm Regards,

Dipak Sharma

World Global News - X-Trade Brokers Services India Pvt Ltd.

World Finance magazine prize for XTB

X-Trade Brokers received the award from the independent financial magazine “World Finance” in the category Best Eastern Europe Online Broker of the Year.

“World Finance” is a leading financial magazine, produced every two months by World News Media from its global Headquarters in London. The World Finance Exchange and Brokerage Awards recognize the results of the top performing Brokers by region. This year, X-Trade Brokers was awarded the Best Online Broker in Eastern Europe.

“X-Trade Brokers is one of the most dynamic broker on the forex market in Europe. The company has already dominated the Polish and Czech market and has been successful in countries like Ukraine, Spain, Germany and Romania. The ‘World Finance’ recognized this success, awarding it the best broker in its region.” – said Hywel Jones at the London Stock Exchange.

"We are extremely satisfied with the award from ‘World Finance’. We see that our efforts have been recognized and appreciated, especially in such a competitive market. We will definitely endeavor to continue to develop our company in that direction." - said Jakub Zablocki, CEO of X-Trade Brokers.

The last year was one of the most difficult ever for the exchanges and brokerage industry, as lenders did their best to cope with a dramatically different landscape. The “World Finance” editorial team in their research for the list examined the performance, client list and exchange activity of each platform by geographical region. Inclusion in this list is especially noteworthy given the exchange climate of 08-09.


Warm Regards,

Dipak Sharma


USDJPY in the short term

USDJPY in the short term...

Last week the USDJPY market was very choppy since it totally ignores all economic data out of Japan. The economic situation in Japan is still not getting better, and the recovery will not be quick.

The previous week the USDJPY hit a new high at 92.10 (highest level since January 12th). The main reason was the discount rate increase by the Fed, which might suggest the beginning of a wider change in monetary policy (at least that is how the market reacted to the news). However, the currency market was mostly influenced by decreased risk aversion on global markets due to equities increase.

No major macroeconomic data is expected to be released today. What can bring some attention is the publication of the BOJ’s monetary policy meeting minutes, which is a detailed record of the BOJ (Bank of Japan) policy Board’s meeting, providing in-depth insights into the economic conditions that influenced their decision on where to set interest rates. The BOJ has not changed interest rates for a very long time and no sensational news or comments are expected this time.

From the technical analysis standpoint, the USDJPY was unable to break the resistance level at 92.00 (although it reached 92.10). The downward impulse can test 90.70 with 89.86 being the ultimate target. Breaking the resistance can push the market towards 93.75, assuming further stock market increases.

Dipak Sharma

X-Trade Services India Pvt Ltd

dipak.sharma@xtb.in

(Link- http://www.in.xtb.com/strona.php?komentarz=13452)

Gold prices decline on USD strengthening....

Gold prices decline on USD strengthening

Gold prices declined further in Asian trade on Friday after the Federal Reserve move strengthened the dollar. The Fed, to the surprise of investors, hiked the discount rate by 25 bp. to 0.75%. The dollar rallied against the euro, which hit a nine-month low on Friday at $1.3443 after the Fed's move to raise the discount rate stoked expectations that it was moving towards "normalization" of monetary policy. Gold, which is negatively correlated with the U.S dollar, dropped sharply from $1120 to $1102 per troy ounce on yesterday’s news. Also yesterday, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) announced it will sell 191.3 tons of gold on the open market.

Yesterday’s macro data did not impact the market like the Fed’s decision. PPI increased to 1.4% (against the 0.7% forecast) while the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index grew to 17.6 points (above the 16.9 forecast).

As seen on the chart below, the gold market is aiming its first support level at $1095. Breaking this support can pull the market down to $1075, which is the 61.8% Fibo retracement level of the last upward movement. A bullish signal will be given by breaking the resistance at $1125 with the next target being at $1145.

The prices of gold will depend much on the dollar’s behavior and it seems that its appreciation will last for at least some time. Macroeconomic publications that can affect the dollar (and indirectly the gold market) include the CPI report from the U.S (7pm Mumbai time) and NY Fed’s President, William Dudley’s, speech at an economic conference in San Juan.

Dipak Sharma

X-Trade Brokers Services India Pvt Ltd.